The wait for the choices of the center-right: the “Merkel doctrine” at stake in Brussels

from Francesco Verderami

In the dispute between Meloni and Letta not only Palazzo Chigi is at stake.
The vote of a founding country of Europe will in fact have a significant weight on the political balance in the Union.

In the dispute between Melons And Read not only Palazzo Chigi is at stake.
The vote of a founding country of Europe will in fact have a significant weight on the political balance in the Union.
And the concern that is felt in these days inside and outside the national borders of seeing the Italian electoral appointment transformed into a watershed date also for the Old Continent. The fear that the Merkel doctrine will jump in perspective, that power scheme that has held up in Brussels for twenty years and on the basis of which the EPP has always had its traditional opponent in the Pse but also its privileged interlocutor, with whom to make agreements if necessary. Without ever letting the wall to the right fall.

But the picture is changing. In the Czech Republic, the Conservative-led government together with two popular forces. In Sweden, the next majority will be Ppe-Ecr. And in Spain – argues an authoritative exponent of FdI – a similar majority is expected. Obviously Italy has a different specific weight and if the ballot boxes guaranteed the birth of a Meloni cabinet, the process of change would accelerate in the EU. And the Merkel doctrine – as they recognize in the Democratic Party – would be seriously jeopardized. Thus we understand why the Dutch socialist Timmermans – heedless of his role as vice president of the Commission – had lashed out against the hypothesis of a center-right executive in Rome. And we understand the reasons that led to the (decomposed) attack of the SPD against the post-fascists. But we also understand the sortie of the leader of the Brothers of Italy on Vox, which provoked the reaction of the Democratic Party and Action.

If it is true that we are in an increasingly intertwined and supranational politics, as Democratic Minister Orlando says to justify his secretary’s trip to Berlin, it was obvious that the final part of the electoral campaign bent on these issues. And there is a reason why Calenda And Renzi they criticized the visit of Letta a Scholz: not only because certain endorsements are counterproductive, or because if the Italians decide it will not be the chancellor who will change their judgments. In addition to the problem of German interference, the point is that Germany is seen by national public opinion as the country that today is holding back on the European ceiling at the price of gas, while it buys it from Russia at one third of the cost for Italy. All issues that become propaganda weapons for Meloni.

The approach of Justice Commissioner Reynders – we leave the voters free to choose so much then it will be the acts of government that count – a way to remove Brussels from the dispute but also a smart move waiting to see the center-right put to the test. Which continues to show cracks on the eve of the vote. The candidate at Palazzo Chigi robs the differences in physiological distinctions for the conquest of consensus, and there is no doubt that Lega and Forza Italia are trying to get out of the shadow in order not to be cannibalized by FdI. But there is a divergence of vision.

When Berlusconi calls Mrs. Meloni to a more pro-European attitude, and when Salvini hits the button on the sanctions that are enriching someone and impoverishing us, contradictions emerge precisely on the line of international politics with his ally. And they are the prelude to a clarification that – according to the president of FdI – the result of the polls will be able to resolve. To a certain extent, however. The future structure of the executive certainly has something to do with it. Tajani, who underlines how FI will be the guarantor of the next government and place the EU at the center of political action, seems to be running for the foreign ministry. The secretary of the League, who entrusts the voters with the task of determining what to do, lets it be understood that he has not stopped thinking about the Interior Ministry and that he does not like technicians or the Interior or the Economy.

But the political problem above all linked to the differences between Meloni and Berlusconi on the approach with the Union and to the differences between Meloni and Salvini on the Ukrainian conflict. Their opponents – inside and outside the borders – are waiting to understand if the Italian center-right will be able to give a pickaxe to the balance of power that has been resisting for a long time in Europe.

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September 20, 2022 (change September 21, 2022 | 08:28)

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The wait for the choices of the center-right: the “Merkel doctrine” at stake in Brussels

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