What will bring Boris Johnson out? – The post

The political stance of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, already hit by various scandals and electoral defeats, weakened exceptionally on Tuesday evening, after two of the most important ministers in his government have resigned criticizing his attitude and accusing him of not acting in the national interest. The discontent with Johnson within the Conservative Party and the country is such that according to many analysts his rule is nearing its end. However, there are no indications, at least for now, that Johnson is intent on resigning, although he is in a political situation that for many of his predecessors would have been considered unsustainable.

The resignations of Rishi Sunak, the Chancellor of the Exchequer (i.e. the Minister of Economy) and Sajid Javid, the Minister of Health, are only the latest of Johnson’s political defeats.

In recent months, his government has been hit by the so-called “partygate“, That is the scandal of private parties organized in the prime minister’s residence during the lockdown, and more recently the Conservative Party has lost some important local electionsas well as the vote to replace two Conservative deputies who had resigned following sex scandals. In recent days, it was discovered that Johnson had appointed Congressman Chris Pincher as the party’s deputy whip (i.e. one of the people who must gather the necessary votes in the House, a kind of deputy group leader) despite knowing that he had been accused of harassment. sexual.

Sunak and Javid’s resignations came after this latest scandal, ten minutes away from each other, even though the two – who are political allies – claim they haven’t coordinated. Neither is referring to Pincher’s specific case, although Javid wrote in his resignation letter that “the British people expect integrity from his government.” Sunak, on the other hand, spoke above all of differences in economic policy.

Johnson’s government suffered another loss on Wednesday morning when Will Quince, Undersecretary for Children and Families, he resigned accusing Johnson of lying to him: Quince publicly defended the government against the Pincher scandal on Monday, saying Johnson did not know about the allegations, only to discover that Johnson knew, and that he had lied to him too.

The resignations of Sunak and Javid, the two most important, were seen as a way to accelerate the government crisis and possibly take advantage of it: both Conservative politicians, according to various analyzes in British newspapers, aspire to fill Johnson’s place once he will have resigned.

Johnson, however, has no plans to step down, despite having faced various scandals and suffered numerous defeats that would have irreparably damaged many of his predecessors. Despite having lost two of his most important ministers, and two of the biggest figures in the Conservative Party, Johnson has already replaced them with Nadhim Zahawi, who became Chancellor of the Exchequer, and with Steve Barclay, who was his former chief of staff and he became Minister of Health.

The government is now emptied of most of its prominent personalities, but Johnson intends to remain in office until he is forced to resign.

The fact is that although most British citizens would like his resignation (69 per cent, including 54 per cent of his party’s voters), and although it is very likely that the majority of Conservative MPs no longer support him , there are currently no tools in the UK system to remove it: just last month Johnson he barely survived to a vote of no confidence within the party, and this means that, according to the rules, similar votes cannot be called for at least another year.

According to Politicit is not excluded that in order to oust Johnson the Conservative MPs change this rule, and indicate a new vote of no confidence in the coming days. Johnson would also be forced to leave office if his government ministers resign en masse, or if he loses a vote of confidence in the House of Commons (a different procedure than a no-confidence vote within the party).

For now, these options are all quite unlikely. But it is really difficult to imagine that Boris Johnson will be able to reach the end of his mandate, scheduled for 2024. According to the British newspapers, even his ministers are preparing to compete to replace him: Sunak and Javid, with their resignations, have bet that it is politically more convenient to distance themselves from Johnson, while others, such as Foreign Minister Liz Truss, believe their chances of succeeding Johnson will be greater if they remain in government to the end.

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What will bring Boris Johnson out? – The post

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